This page lists blogs relating to the EU Referendum in reverse chronological order.
Post-23 June 2016
#10 Do you want to be a hammer or an anvil? Building a team for the NO campaign, 7 July. On the nature of the organisation needed… ‘Building this organisation should have started years ago. The resources of the old anti-euro campaign should have gone into working out a roadmap for a new UK-EU treaty and building a national movement to support it. It did not happen. Resources were diverted into cul-de-sacs. It cannot be delayed further… I thought it a mistake to try to force David Cameron to hold a referendum but for those who ignored the dangers and pushed for it now to argue that ‘we must wait before we do anything’ is no good… We must focus on the interests of Britain, Europe, and the wider world – not party interests…’
#1 Gove and the Human Rights Act, 11 May 2015. Mainly on Gove and HRA but also some discussion of referendum: ‘I was campaign director of the campaign that opposed Britain joining the euro 1998-2002. After that, decisions by a few people meant that the momentum and structure built by that campaign was – in my opinion disastrously – destroyed. A decade in which people should have been figuring out the answers to questions like those sketched above was squandered. Too many people focused on clamouring for a referendum instead of figuring out the extreme complexities of the issues. This was all the more odd given how many Eurosceptics complain that even winning a referendum in Europe has just led to another referendum… Having mostly squandered a decade, ‘the silent artillery of time’ is on the side of the status quo.‘
My report for Business for Britain on the dynamics of the debate over the EU, and a small but telling process point on the EU, June 2014. This report explores swing voter opinion on the arguments for and against the EU. It also touches on perceptions of the parties and the leaders. It describes what I regard as a frequent error among the commentariat concerning the psychology of ‘swing voters’. This blog also has a Times op-ed on Europe attached at the bottom.
The Hollow Men Part I: the long view, June 2014. This blog considered a long view of elite British decision-making from the 1860s to now – the confusion about how to deal with Bismarck, the very similar confusion about how to deter Germany pre-1914 and pre-1939, our entry to the EEC and so on. It was not written with the referendum much in mind but it is relevant to it.